RETROSPECTIVE: My Mid-Major Picks/Results, NCAA First Round

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I went 7-3 in play-in and first-round games. Three of those teams are in the Sweet 16 and at least one will be in the Elite Eight.   


Mid-majors flexed their muscles last week, showing the basketball world that parity is the name of the game in major college basketball today.

Last Tuesday I picked 11 mid-majors to shine–two played each other–and seven of those ten teams delivered wins. Here’s a review of last week’s action.

WIN: #4 GONZAGA v. #13 UNCG, Th. I wrote: “Even though the Zags are the prohibitive favorite, I think UNCG will keep the game close until the end.” That’s exactly what happened. MY PICK–GU

URI’s Dan Hurley is making a name for himself. (photo, isportsweb)

WIN: #7 RHODE ISLAND v. #10 OKLAHOMA, Th. I was never sold on OU and was disappointed when the Committee picked the Sooners over the OSU Cowboys. Conversely, I’ve been high on URI all year long. MY PICK–URI

WIN: #7 NEVADA v. #11 TEXAS, Fri. Reno rebounded from its MWC nightmare against San Diego State and beat Texas down the stretch. MY PICK–UNR

WIN: #11 LOYOLA v. #6 MIAMI, Th. I’ve liked LU ever since I saw them play last year. It’s a team on the rise. MY PICK–LU

WIN: #11 ST. BONAVENTURE v. #11 UCLA, Tu, Play-In game. Bona is another of my season-long favorites. They played good defense against a UCLA team that looked like it didn’t want to be there. MY PICK–SBU

LOSS: #12 NEW MEXICO STATE v. #5 CLEMSON, Fri.  I thought NMSU would have enough to beat Clemson, even though State plays in the competitively awful WAC. But State looked (and was) overmatched right from the start. MY PICK–NMSU

LOSS: #12 SOUTH DAKOTA STATE v. #5 OHIO STATE, Th. This was my biggest surprise. I thought the Jacks would ambush the Buckeyes, and I still held that thought when the game was tied 70-70 down the stretch. Then OSU took control. Next year, Jacks.  MY PICK–SDSU

Javon Carter had 21 points and WVU throttled Murray State (photo, The Herald-Dispatch)

WIN: #12 MURRAY STATE v. #5 WEST VIRGINIA, Fri. I predicted that the Mountaineers would be too much for the Racers. They were. MY PICK–WVU

LOSS: #13 BUFFALO v. #3 ARIZONA, Th. I wrote, “This is a bad draw for a good UB team.” Well, it was that…on paper…but the Wildcats looked listless, confused, and out of sorts against an energized and committed Bulls. Buffalo sprung a huge NCAA upset, winning in a run-a-way. MY PICK–UA

WIN: #14 MONTANA v. #3 MICHIGAN, Th. Only one UM team was going to win and it wasn’t the school from Missoula. MY PICK-MICHIGAN

Perhaps to the surprise of some fans, two of those seven teams are still playing–Nevada and Loyola. A third, Gonzaga, hums along as usual. And, now, the 27-7 Wolf Pack takes on 28-5 Loyola in the Sweet 16. That means one of my mid-majors picks will make it to the Elite 8. Meanwhile, Gonzaga is the odds-on favorite (-5.5) to beat Florida State and get there, too.

If there’s a lesson from this year’s tournament, it’s this: There’s simply too much talent nationally for big-time schools to dominate unequivocally. Hurray, petite équipe!

About Frank Fear

I’m a Columnist at The Sports Column. My specialty is sports commentary with emphasis on sports reform, and I also serve as TSC’s Managing Editor. In the ME role I coordinate the daily flow of submissions from across the country and around the world, including editing and posting articles. I’m especially interested in enabling the development of young, aspiring writers. I can relate to them. I began covering sports in high school for my local newspaper, but then decided to pursue an academic career. For thirty-five-plus years I worked as a professor and administrator at Michigan State University. Now retired, it’s time to write again about sports. In 2023, I published “Band of Brothers, Then and Now: The Inspiring Story of the 1966-70 West Virginia University Football Mountaineers,” and I also produce a weekly YouTube program available on the Voice of College Football Network, “Mountaineer Locker Room, Then & Now.”



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