JoeyP’s NFC and AFC Championship Picks

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The Divisional (second) round had a little bit of everything, so I guess it’s fitting that I went 2-2 on the weekend, bringing me to a 6-4 postseason record. Bloodied but unbowed, we press on to the conference championship games, featuring top seeds playing at home, which is how it should be.


NFC Championship

Aaron Rodgers (photo, UPI)

(1) Green Bay 37, (5) Tampa Bay 20 (Sunday afternoon, Fox): Once upon a time when both of these times weren’t very good, former NBC studio analyst Pete Axthelm (now deceased) called this matchup “The Bay Of Pigs.” Obviously, that’s not the case now. The Packers are consistent contenders, and the Buccaneers having awakened from a 13-year playoff absence.

So what’s the skinny in this meeting? Let’s start with the bay in Tampa. The Bucs lost plenty of games this year by relying too much on quarterback Tom Brady. Green Bay, on the other hand (and even with the dominant presence of Aaron Rodgers), seemed more like a complete team. Second, the Pack is at home at likely-to-be-frozen Lambeau Field. It’s a place where they don’t lose very often. Third, there’s an element we’ll never see on the screen. Rodgers would probably never admit it, but the Jordan Love draft selection lit a fire under him. He responded like the superstar he is.

Give TB credit for getting TB this far, but it’s as far as ‘the other bay’ will go.

AFC Championship

Courtesy: Chiefs Wire-USAToday

(1) Kansas City 29, (2) Buffalo 26 (Sunday night, CBS): This should be a close, terrific game between two teams that are eminently capable of representing the conference in Tampa. That’s why it deserves this slot on primetime TV. And the suspenseful aspect of this clash is whether the Bills can stop the multi-faceted Kansas City attack.

That said, all bets are off if Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes can’t play (concussion). I think he will, and that will give this game an all-weapons available look–including on the ground where, surprisingly, the game may be won and lost. Because of Mahomes, the Chiefs’ rushing attack doesn’t get the passing game’s headlines. But KC can run the ball, and that means Buffalo will have its hands full. On the other hand, while the Bills have a high-quality passing game of their own, at issue is whether its backs/line can run effectively against KC (only 32 yards against the Ravens).

It’s a tall order for this squad from Lake Erie’s shore. Managing Mahomes, controlling the KC run, doing both on the road, and playing in their first championship game in over a quarter-decade against the defending NFL champ is asking a lot of a championship-level newcomer.

But if any team can overcome and achieve, it’s these Bills.

About Joe Platania

Veteran Ravens correspondent Joe Platania is in his 45th year in sports media (including two CFL seasons when Batlimore had a CFL team) in a career that extends across parts of six decades. Platania covers sports with insight, humor, and a highly prescient eye, and that is why he has made his mark on television, radio, print, online, and in the podcast world. He can be heard frequently on WJZ-FM’s “Vinny And Haynie” show, alongside ex-Washington general manager Vinny Cerrato and Bob Haynie. A former longtime member in good standing of the National Sportscasters and Sportswriters Association and the Pro Football Writers of America, Platania manned the CFL Stallions beat for The Avenue Newspaper Group of Essex (1994 and ’95) and the Ravens beat since the team’s inception — one of only three local writers to do so — for PressBox, The Avenue, and other local publications and radio stations. A sought-after contributor and host on talk radio and TV, he made numerous appearances on “Inside PressBox” (10:30 a.m. Sundays), and he was heard weekly for eight seasons on the “Purple Pride Report,” WQLL-AM (1370). He has also appeared on WMAR-TV’s “Good Morning Maryland” (2009), Comcast SportsNet’s “Washington Post Live” (2004-06), and WJZ-TV’s “Football Talk” postgame show — with legend Marty Bass (2002-04). Platania is the only sports journalist in Maryland history to have been a finalist for both the annual Sportscaster of the Year award (1998, which he won) and Sportswriter of the Year (2010). He is also a four-time Maryland-Delaware-District of Columbia Press Association award winner. Platania is a graduate of St. Joseph’s (Cockeysville), Calvert Hall College High School, and Towson University, where he earned a degree in Mass Communications. He lives in Cockeysville, MD.



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