Starting A Runner At Second In Extra-Inning Games: What’s The Likely Impact on Baseball?

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We did a study to find out.


Pace-of-play has one of the hottest topics in major league baseball. A likely rule change–it is being tested this season in minor league baseball–involves putting a runner at second at the start of extra-inning games.

Courtesy: Yahoo! Sports

My team at Casino.org was curious about how such a rule change would affect games. We conducted a study that investigated the last three years of playoff games. Here’s what we found.

Thirteen of 103 playoff games (12.6%) went to extra innings. Twelve of those 13 games would have ended with a different score, but only one game would have had a different winner–Game 2 of the 2014 NLDS.

How do fans feel about starting a runner at second base in extra-inning games? On a scale of 1 (love) to 7 (hate), fans ranked this rule 6.3. However, over 2/3 of those who responded would still watch the same number of games.

View the full analysis here.



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